The Australian Open is set to kick off with an exciting first day of men’s matches that promises thrilling tennis action. Here at LWOT, we’re eager to share our insights and predictions for every matchup on the card, including notable clashes like Alexander Bublik against Jenson Brooksby, Alexander Zverev facing Gabriel Diallo, and Carlos Alcaraz going up against Adam Walton. The big question on everyone’s mind is: who will secure their advancement into the next round?
Frances Tiafoe vs. Jason Kubler
Nurein: Frances Tiafoe has an impressive track record against Jason Kubler, boasting a flawless 3-0 head-to-head record. Although his performance over the past couple of years has had its ups and downs, Tiafoe has consistently shown up ready to compete in the opening rounds of Grand Slam events. It seems unlikely that he will encounter any significant challenges in this match.
Prediction: Tiafoe in 3 sets.
Jordan: This match should present a favorable opening round for Tiafoe, who will be looking to rebound from a lackluster performance in last year’s major tournaments. While Kubler enjoys the advantage of playing on home soil, I doubt he possesses the skill set to truly challenge the American. Even if Tiafoe isn’t at his peak form, he should still emerge victorious.
Prediction: Tiafoe in 4 sets.
Zain: Tiafoe’s decline in performance during the latter half of 2025 raised some eyebrows, especially since he thrives on confidence and momentum. Given that Kubler had to qualify for the main draw, he might see an opportunity to extend rallies, exploiting Tiafoe’s recent vulnerabilities. However, considering Kubler’s age and the likelihood that his best tennis is behind him, it may not be enough to overcome an opponent who has been struggling with self-doubt.
Prediction: Tiafoe in 4 sets.
Francisco Cerundolo vs. Zhang Zhizhen
Nurein: This matchup poses one of the biggest challenges for a seeded player in the first round. Francisco Cerundolo displays remarkable ball-striking abilities, but Zhang Zhizhen has the baseline power to match him. Having performed well at the United Cup, Zhang is eager to recover lost points after a difficult 2025 season marred by injuries.
Prediction: Zhang in 5 sets.
Jordan: This match marks Zhang’s first singles appearance in over three months and only his fifth since late March. As a result, he is likely not at his top form for this contest. Cerundolo, known for his solid play, should be able to take advantage of Zhang's lack of competitive rhythm.
Prediction: Cerundolo in 3 sets.
Zain: After demonstrating significant potential, Zhang’s 2025 was plagued by injuries, leaving his physical condition uncertain in a best-of-five format. Cerundolo, who may not favor fast hard courts as much as others, still wields the most potent weapon on the court—his forehand—and should have enough consistency to reach the second round.
Prediction: Cerundolo in 4 sets.
Cameron Norrie vs. Benjamin Bonzi
Nurein: Benjamin Bonzi got off to a slow start in the early weeks of the season, losing his qualifying matches in both Brisbane and Adelaide. Although the French player possesses more talent than his current ranking of 106 suggests, this match could be coming too soon for him following a recent injury setback.
Prediction: Norrie in 4 sets.
Jordan: Expect to see many lengthy exchanges in this match. While Norrie has become more aggressive over the past year, neither player is known for overwhelming firepower. Overall, I believe Norrie will exhibit greater craftiness over the course of five sets, but a victory for Bonzi wouldn’t be entirely unexpected.
Prediction: Norrie in 5 sets.
Zain: Norrie made strides in 2025, regaining much of what he had previously lost after falling outside of the top 100. On a shot-for-shot basis, Bonzi might feel confident here; however, when it comes to a physical contest where Norrie typically maintains his endurance, the Brit should have the upper hand.
Prediction: Norrie in 5 sets.
Damir Dzumhur vs. Liam Draxl
Nurein: Liam Draxl is poised to make his Grand Slam main draw debut. He enjoyed a fantastic summer in North America just months ago, reaching three consecutive Challenger finals and clinching his maiden title in Winnipeg on home turf. At 33, Damir Dzumhur is a seasoned veteran on tour, yet he remains vulnerable to losses against lower-ranked opponents. If Draxl can manage his nerves early on, he stands a genuine chance of earning a victory in his debut.
Prediction: Draxl in 4 sets.
Jordan: This match signifies Draxl’s first-ever Grand Slam main draw experience. While Dzumhur relies on his experience to navigate this challenge, I expect Draxl to be inspired enough to make his inaugural main draw appearance in Melbourne unforgettable.
Prediction: Draxl in 4 sets.
Zain: Draxl had an incredible comeback during the qualifying rounds to secure his spot in the main draw, so regardless of the outcome, he should feel optimistic about his Australian Open journey. His counterpunching style can turn this match into a battle, but Dzumhur’s superior ball quality should ultimately carry him through.
Prediction: Dzumhur in 4 sets.
Main photo credit: Mike Frey-USA TODAY Sports
